Southwest Florida Market Temperature
The Southwest Florida market temperature is a 0 to 100 score that shows, month by month, whether buyers or sellers have the edge in Estero, Bonita Springs, Naples, Fort Myers and Charlotte County. As of September 2026, Estero reads Warm at 66, Charlotte County and Bonita Springs are Balanced at 47 and 43, and Fort Myers and the Naples area read Cool at 36 and 33. Every market is warmer than it was a year ago, when all five sat in the Cool or Cold range.
Move the slider to see the last three years
Drag the slider or press play to watch all five markets change together. Tap any market for its full reading: months of supply, median sale price, days to contract, sold price versus original list, closed sales and active listings, each with its change from a year earlier.
Drag the slider or press play to watch five markets move from Sep 2023 to Sep 2026. Tap any market to see its numbers.
Score: 0 is cold (buyers in control), 100 is hot (sellers in control). It blends months of supply (60%), sold price as a share of original list price (20%) and median days to contract (20%), with the last two using a three month average. All property types, all price ranges. Source: Florida Realtors SunStats, newest month Sep 2026. McGreevy and Comisar, Domain Realty Group.
How to read the gauge
80 and up is Hot: sellers are firmly in control. 60 to 79 is Warm: sellers have the edge. 40 to 59 is Balanced: neither side has the edge. 20 to 39 is Cool: buyers have the edge. Under 20 is Cold: buyers are firmly in control. The biggest single input is months of supply, the number of months it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace of sales.
Market by market, September 2026
Estero (ZIP 33928): Warm, 66
Estero is the warmest of the five. Months of supply fell to 3.6 from 6.5 a year earlier, active listings dropped to 363 from 503, and homes sold for a median 95.2% of their original list price, up from 92.7%. The median sale price was $475,000. Explore homes and neighborhoods on our Estero page.
Bonita Springs (city): Balanced, 43
Bonita Springs moved from Cold (18) a year ago to Balanced. Months of supply is 4.6, down from 6.9, and the median time to contract shortened to 58 days from 95. The median sale price was $520,000 on 100 closed sales. See more on our Bonita Springs page.
Naples area (Collier County): Cool, 33
The Naples area is still the coolest reading, with 5.8 months of supply and 4,983 active listings, but it has warmed from 9 a year ago. Closed sales rose to 715 from 678 and the median sale price was $600,000. Buyers here still have room to negotiate. Browse our Naples page.
Fort Myers: Cool, 36
The City of Fort Myers reads Cool with 5.9 months of supply, down from 7.3. The median sale price rose to $350,000 from $316,500 and the median time to contract fell to 58 days from 70. Find more on our Fort Myers page.
Charlotte County: Balanced, 47
Charlotte County made the biggest jump, from 13 a year ago to 47. Months of supply fell to 5.2 from 7.6, active listings dropped to 3,268 from 4,163, and homes sold for a median 94.0% of original list price, up from 90.0%. See our Punta Gorda page for homes in the county.
Frequently asked questions
Is it a buyer’s or a seller’s market in Southwest Florida right now?
It depends on the town. As of September 2026, Estero reads Warm (66), which gives sellers the edge, while Bonita Springs (43) and Charlotte County (47) are Balanced and the Naples area (33) and Fort Myers (36) read Cool, which gives buyers the edge.
What does the market temperature score measure?
It is a 0 to 100 score built from three public numbers: months of supply (60%), the sold price as a share of the original list price (20%) and median days to contract (20%). The last two use a three month average so one odd month does not swing the reading.
How often is the page updated?
Every month, when Florida Realtors releases the newest SunStats figures for each area. Move the slider to see any month in the last three years.
Does the score cover every kind of home?
Yes. It uses all property types and all price ranges for each area, so a single neighborhood, price band or condo building can run warmer or cooler than the town as a whole. Ask one of our agents for a reading on a specific home.
Sources and updates
Figures come from Florida Realtors SunStats for each area, all property types and price ranges, newest month September 2026. Updated November 2026. Prepared by Domain Realty Group and our partners at McGreevy and Comisar. Thinking about buying or selling? Contact our team or get a free home valuation.